Thursday, February 26, 2026
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Really Good Bad Ideas

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lee pitts
I was talking with my buddy Ralph who lives in “America’s Outback” and he was complaining because he could not participate in the trend towards “agri-tourism” because his starve-out ranch is right in the middle of Nevada’s big nowhere.
“Not every ranch is blessed to be a dude ranch hotspot,” said Ralph. “The only reason people come to Nevada is to gamble or to get married which, I suppose,  is redundant.”
“You just have to work with what you have plenty of, like heat,” I replied. “Have you ever thought of offering the world’s only outdoor slot machines? You could advertise them as the “hottest” slots in Nevada. Taking a page from Las Vegas, you could make it a “clothing optional” slot resort. And since your average tourist wants to go places where there aren’t a lot of tourists, you could put a billboard on I-80 steering everyone to your place, promoting the fact you offer plenty of elbow room and the largest parking lot in the world. You could bus the folks in on party buses from California.”
“That’s the best bad idea I ever heard,” said Ralph. “You got any others?”
“Well, I suppose you can’t grow pumpkins or strawberries in your “semi-arid” desert so a “pick-your-own” farm won’t attract anyone. And since you don’t have any trees, a zip line is probably out of the question. I don’t know if you can make wine from locoweed either so you might have to skip the wine tasting tours. By the way, what can you grow on your God-forsaken place?”
“It’s 110 out here during the day and 20 degrees below at night and our “growing season” is relatively short, which rules out a corn maze. Radishes are about the only thing we can grow because they grow in 21 days.”
“That’s it,” I screamed in excitement. “You could have the worlds only radish maze! It would be a huge hit with the intellectually challenged amongst us.”
“I suppose it would be easier than a corn maze and insurance would be cheaper because no one would get lost,” said Ralph, warming to the idea. “About the only other thing we can grow out here are tumbleweeds. The sagebrush out here stands five feet tall in a good year.”
“That’s another great idea,” I said. “You could have a “u-pick” sagebrush farm at Christmas time and sell environmentalists on the idea that sagebrush Christmas “trees” are far more environmentally friendly than trees you have to grow and water.”
“I can just hear it now,” said Ralph, “as the family gathers around their tumbleweed to decorate it on Christmas eve. “Ow, ouch, those limbs have @#$&*^% stickers on them!”
“Yeah, I see your point. Everything in your neighborhood either tends to have thorns or is poisonous. Is there any wildlife on your ranch that hunters would like to take a shot at?”
“Well, no one has seen our Congressman in this neck of the woods since he got elected and went to DC. Other than that, about the only thing folks out here would like to kill are scorpions and rattlesnakes. We do have WAAAY too many federal bureaucrats and wild horses despoiling the country but lobbing as much as a paintball in their direction would land you in prison for the rest of your life.”
“Are there any endangered species enviro-visitors could take pictures of?”
“The only thing out here that’s endangered are cows. Thanks to the BLM you hardly ever see one around here any more.”
“That’s it. Cow safaris! Agri-tourists could shoot photos or guns at cows. You could mount your dudes on the wild horses they love so much and turn them loose to shoot the cows they seem to despise. If you run out of wild cows you could buy shelly old canners and cutters to replace them at the sales yard. I think it’s what professors and bureaucrats call a “sustainable business.”

Kansas fall wheat planting looks like repeat of last year’s dry season

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In talking with wheat growers from southwest Oklahoma up well into northern Kansas, I’m hearing the same story over and over again. “It’s dry, dry, dry.”

Here we go again.

If I didn’t know better, I’d say we slipped back in time and it’s September 2022 all over again when we had slim odds of getting a wheat stand. And it got worse every day you waited.

This is kind of a big deal because the No. 1 factor affecting yield is getting a stand. It’s said if you can get your wheat up, you’ve got 90 to 95% odds of harvesting something. This is no guarantee that you’ll have great yields, but you’ll at least have something.

In a rainfed economy, this is something we periodically have to deal with—rains that just don’t come when they’re supposed to.  We farmers have devised numerous ways to alter the course that Mother Nature tries to force us down. Here on our farm, one of our primary objectives through the summer fallow period is to protect the topsoil moisture at all costs. To do that through the summer fallow period we use a reduced tillage program combining herbicides for weed control with one or two or three deep tillage operations using our 6-foot subsurface blade plow that preserves the crop residues from the previous crop.

Research from the ‘60s and ‘70s on stubble mulch tillage showed in severe heat and drought, the top inch or two of your soil likely will dry out but the next inch or two down will stay semi-moist. Finally, when you get to the plow pan, you have decent enough moisture to get the wheat up. This past fall we had a  failure rate of 1%. On the vast majority of our ground, we had decent stands and had to plow up only 1% of what we planted.

While it is still early for planting wheat, some farmers I’ve talked with are considering other alternatives. Already they don’t have enough topsoil moisture to get their wheat up. And that combined with wheat prices significantly below cost of production is leading them to think about maybe not even planting at all. Plus, many wheat farmers can’t find adequate supplies of seed wheat. And what they can find is expensive. And the weather forecast is equally discouraging.

Sure, we’ve got a 40 and 50% chance of rain 5 and 6 days out. But do you want to go on the operating table with those odds … especially when the trend is solidly going the opposite direction?

So just exactly where is the weather headed? Bill Turner, meteorologist with NOAA in Dodge City, notes the Climate Prediction Center says over the next three months of September through November, we should look for temperature and precipitation to be “near normal.”

Turner says there is no winter weather outlook yet, but El Nino is establishing and El Nino winters tend to favor heavier rain/snow across the central and southern Plains, including Kansas.

But what does Turner really think? “Personally, I have no faith in these long-range predictions. Anything past about 14 days is essentially useless in my opinion. There are just too many variables involved to make an accurate prediction. As an operational meteorologist that has been doing this for 26 years, I think useful predictability ends at about 10 days,” he concludes.

Vance Ehmke is a farmer in Lane and Scott counties in Kansas. He runs a seed business and is a former editor for Progressive Farmer. Ehmke also is a past president of the Kansas Association of Wheat Growers. As reported in The Hutchinson News.